Break-even index / Mac M-series / GPT-5.4 / North Carolina

Will a Mac (M-series, unified memory) beat GPT-5.4 in North Carolina?

The verdict
HYBRID

Break-even lands around month 23. Real, but slow — a hybrid setup (local for the routine work, cloud for the peaks) usually beats going all-in.

How to read it: OWN — the rig pays for itself inside 18 months. HYBRID — break-even lands between 18 and 36 months; real, but slow. RENT — it never pays off before the hardware is due for replacement. Every formula and threshold is public on the methodology page.

The numbers

Build cost (Mac (M-series, unified memory))$3,000 ($2,000–$4,000)
Hardware amortized (3 yr)$83.33/mo
Electricity in North Carolina ($0.135/kWh)$1.30/mo (9.6 kWh)
Local total cost of ownership$84.63/mo
GPT-5.4 at the same usage$131/mo
Break-evenabout 23 months

Assumes the "coding assistant" preset: ~15M tokens/month, 3 h/day active, 5 h/day idle. GPT-5.4 priced at $2.5/M in, $15/M out (verified 2026-07-05). Rig ceiling: Up to 70B via unified memory (slower prompt processing). Jargon: VRAM is the GPU memory that decides which models fit; Q4 is 4-bit quantization — a smaller, faster copy of a model with a slight quality cost.

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