Break-even index / Mac M-series / Claude Haiku 4.5 / Hawaii
Will a Mac (M-series, unified memory) beat Claude Haiku 4.5 in Hawaii?
Break-even lands at month 74 — past your 3-year amortization horizon. The rig would be due for replacement before it pays for itself.
How to read it: OWN — the rig pays for itself inside 18 months. HYBRID — break-even lands between 18 and 36 months; real, but slow. RENT — it never pays off before the hardware is due for replacement. Every formula and threshold is public on the methodology page.
The numbers
| Build cost (Mac (M-series, unified memory)) | $3,000 ($2,000–$4,000) |
|---|---|
| Hardware amortized (3 yr) | $83.33/mo |
| Electricity in Hawaii ($0.466/kWh) | $4.48/mo (9.6 kWh) |
| Local total cost of ownership | $87.81/mo |
| Claude Haiku 4.5 at the same usage | $45.00/mo |
| Break-even | about 74 months |
Assumes the "coding assistant" preset: ~15M tokens/month, 3 h/day active, 5 h/day idle. Claude Haiku 4.5 priced at $1/M in, $5/M out (verified 2026-07-05). Rig ceiling: Up to 70B via unified memory (slower prompt processing). Jargon: VRAM is the GPU memory that decides which models fit; Q4 is 4-bit quantization — a smaller, faster copy of a model with a slight quality cost.
See your verdict — then tweak every number →